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In July, although watermelon was affected by the epidemic situation and the rainy season of super long plum, the price of watermelon in each producing area dropped slightly and stabilized at the top of Sanmao, and there was no serious unsalable situation. In this special year, there is no unsalable watermelon in July. One of the most fundamental reasons is that the area of watermelon on the market after July has decreased and the yield is low. Considering various factors, watermelon will enter a rising cycle in August after bottoming out at the end of July.
The planting area decreased sharply
Affected by the epidemic situation, the low price and unsalable price last year, Zhongwei's fallow policy and other factors, the number of watermelon on the market in August decreased by more than 50% compared with that of the previous year, which is the most fundamental reason for the rise of watermelon in August. According to the large-scale statistics of seed sales, the watermelon area after July decreased by one-third. Due to the good price of watermelon in July last year and the serious unsalable in August, the farmers all rushed early. The planting amount was mainly concentrated in July, and the decrease in planting was mainly concentrated in August. For example, in the early August of Etuoke, the amount of watermelon on the market was 60% less than that in previous years, and Zhongwei farmers were also catching up in a large area The watermelon area on the market decreased by more than 50% in January, and the situation also existed in Northeast China.
Effects of drought on Zhongwei selenium sand melon
Zhongwei, the main watermelon producing area, has suffered a rare drought once in 50 years this year, and there is no good rain after planting, which is a devastating blow to the dry land watermelon. Under helpless, the melon farmer had to use the water jar to pull water to save the watermelon. This year, the overall yield of Zhongwei watermelon is only half of that of previous years due to its small size and low yield. In addition, the government's forced fallow area has been reduced by about 25%. This is an important reason for the overall stability of watermelon in July and an important driving force for the rise of watermelon in August.
The influence of severe sandstorm weather in Inner Mongolia
This year is a special year, and natural disasters are once in a few decades. As an important production area of late maturing watermelon, Inner Mongolia watermelon growing in the big desert has suffered serious wind and sand damage this year. In previous years, the gale weather will reduce at the end of May, and there will be no dust in June. However, on June 10, there is a rare ten degree gale. Watermelon seedlings are seriously damaged by wind and sand, and some are directly affected by the wind Sand killed, some farmers replant three or four times, whether it is seeded melon or direct seeding, there is a common situation of big and small seedlings, watermelon maturity is not consistent, low commodity rate of selling melons, coupled with the weak growth of Watermelon after sandstorm, this year compared with the previous year's first crop of melon production reduced by at least one third, the promise of large land, is unable to load watermelon.
Review of watermelon market this year
This year is a special year. Some people are optimistic about the watermelon in July, but the result is contrary to our wishes. This year, there are more watermelons in June than in the normal year, and the watermelon in July is less than usual, so it may not have a good market. The biggest variable this year is the decrease of watermelon sales, the epidemic situation affects consumption, and the rainy season of super long plum affects consumption, which is the most fundamental factor for the unsatisfactory price of watermelon in June and July. However, from the feedback from various watermelon consumer markets, we can see that the epidemic has indeed affected the sales volume, about 10% of the impact, but the most important thing is the weather. Recently, due to the high temperature in southern China, watermelon is still very popular as in previous years.
Prospect of watermelon market in the future
Based on the above analysis, it is a common consensus among watermelon practitioners that the price of watermelon will rise in August. Where is the price of watermelon in the later stage, and whether it will create a history depends on whether the epidemic situation will further develop and the development situation of high temperature in the later stage. When the production area is reduced by 50% and the output is not ideal, the mode of later stage grab goods will continue and enter the seller's market. Comprehensive analysis shows that the peak of watermelon price in the later period of this year may appear from August 20 to early September, and the price may reach the highest level in the same period, because watermelon is the least in the same period of this year.
Source: green fruit net